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Bob Rennie Woodwards building

Bob Rennie encourages Densification

Steve Saretsky -

On Tuesday I attended the annual city planning event at the Museum of Vancouver. It featured prominent speakers such as Frances Bula (urban affairs journalist), Jennifer Marshall (Architect and urban designer), Noha Sedky (urban planner) and the legendary Bob Rennie. There were a few things I wanted to recap on the two hour presentation.

Firstly, the thing that struck me the most was all 4 speakers echoed the same message regarding foreign investment. It has very little impact on Vancouver real estate prices. They felt it has influenced prices for only the high end luxury market and little to no affect on the average condo market. Bob Rennie and the gang went on to say that prices are coming from limited supply and demand and low interest rates.

I couldn’t help but think, really, no affect on the average condo market in Downtown Vancouver? Prices went up by 18% in one year. I’ll agree limited supply and demand and low interest rates certainly play a huge roll but to downplay foreign investment. They continually referenced that only 2% of Vancouver condos were purchased by foreigners. If you believe that stat I think you’re completely oblivious. As i’ve said before it’s not right to point the finger at the foreigner but It’s shocking how much they downplay it’s role on prices.

Things got pretty heated last night with many local Vancouverites raising their arguments with Bob Rennie and the rest of the speakers. Their goal for Vancouver is to continue to densify it as much as possible, especially around transit lines. Their hope is with continued densification that it will stable prices. Bob Rennie continued to stress he can’t bring down the price of a detached home in Vancouver. The problems lie in areas such as Dunbar where it becomes extremely difficult to convince current home owners to replace the detached homes with townhouses or condo units.

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The Canadian Economy

Steve Saretsky -

Happy Monday Morning! We got a string of new data this past week confirming inflation in consumer goods, and housing are proving to be more than transitory. Canada’s consumer price index continued to drift higher with prices hitting an 18 year high, up 4.7% from last October. The recent floods in BC...

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The calls for impending interest rate hikes continues. CIBC’s chief economist, Benjamin Tal, was out recently suggesting the Bank of Canada could hike its benchmark interest rate at least six times beginning in early 2022. “I think there is a risk of getting into the market at today’s rates,” noted Tal....

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The BC Government announced it is looking at several cooling measures for the housing market in 2022. They have highlighted two measures. The first is an end to the blind bidding process, and the other is a mandatory “cooling off period” which will allow any buyer a 7 day recession...

Steve Saretsky -

The Bank of Canada continues to slowly drain liquidity after flooding the system with a firehose of cash during the pandemic. Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem announced the end of Canada’s QE program (also known as money printing). Furthermore, in Macklems words, “We expect to begin increasing our policy...

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Consumer price inflation ripped higher in September, surging 4.4% year-over-year, the fastest pace of price increases in 18 years. Let’s discuss this further. We have an inflation problem and the Bank of Canada remains of the view that inflation will be transitory. Although they really can’t say otherwise, for if...

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The Saretsky Report. December 2022