DATE

CMHC Evan Siddall

CMHC Says Vancouver Real Estate Overheating Once Again

Steve Saretsky -

Vancouver Real Estate Overheating Led by Condo Market

CMHC has it’s eye on Vancouver once again. Canada’s National housing agency believes the Vancouver real estate market is showing signs of overheating as per their latest report.

Conditions in different segments of the Vancouver market have further diverged since the beginning of the year. The townhouse and apartment markets are currently above the threshold for overheating, leading to higher asking prices and more dwellings selling in multiple offer situations.”

Vancouver real estate market overheating
Source: CMHC

Of course if you’ve been reading this blog this would come as no surprise. There’s been a clear divergence between the detached market and the condo market. Both appear to be going in opposite directions. The Vancouver detached market, although having a nice recovery in the spring, has failed to climb back to peak prices. The average sales price is down 8% year over year.

Average Sales price Vancouver detached homes
Average Sales Price for Vancouver Detached Homes Falls 8% Year over Year.

On the other hand, you have the Vancouver condo market which could be reaching peak insanity, the sales to actives ratio recently exceed 200% for one bedroom units. Further, the average sales price is still climbing, up 14% year over year in June.

Vancouver Condo Average Sales Price
Average sales price for Vancouver Condos surges 14% for June, 2017.

The surge in condo prices is hardly surprising after a BC Government first time buyer loan scheme, which CMHC deemed “an ill-advised program” coupled with borrowers bundling mortgages to avoid stress testing.

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The Canadian Economy

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The Saretsky Report. December 2022