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Vancouver Sees Record Low Detached Home Sales in April

Steve Saretsky -

The Vancouver detached housing market appears to have skipped the historically busy spring market. Following a miserable first quarter, with just 352 sales from January 1st to March 31st, eroding the previous low set in the first quarter of 2009, home sellers held their breath for a spring turnaround. However, those hopes were dashed, with April home sales ticking in at their lowest levels in recent history dating all the way back to 1990.

There were just 173 detached home sales in the city of Vancouver this April. This marked a 31% decline year over year. The fewest home sales for the month of April per the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver MLS data.

Vancouver detached home sales
Vancouver Detached Home sales for the month of April.

While home sellers have been reluctant to slash prices it appears those who need to get out are having to take a haircut. The average sales price of a detached home sunk 5% year over year in April, dropping to $2,397,464.

Vancouver house average sales price
Average sales price for Vancouver detached homes as of April, 2018.

There appears to be a rather obvious downwards trend after prices re tested previous highs back in 2017. The combination of a mortgage stress test and higher interest rates appear to be choking off would be buyers from the expensive detached housing segment. Three big Canadian banks, including, CIBC, RBC and TD all moved mortgage rates higher last week.

Perhaps even more importantly, the well of foreign capital appears to have run dry. This might be best exemplified in the Richmond housing market where foreign buyers are the most prevalent, once making up nearly 20% of all transactions in 2016. The affluent city of Richmond registered just 63 detached home sales, marking a 59% decline year over year, and the worst April on record. With a speculation tax en route, expect to see even more sellers.

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The Canadian Economy

Steve Saretsky -

Happy Monday Morning! We got a string of new data this past week confirming inflation in consumer goods, and housing are proving to be more than transitory. Canada’s consumer price index continued to drift higher with prices hitting an 18 year high, up 4.7% from last October. The recent floods in BC...

Steve Saretsky -

The calls for impending interest rate hikes continues. CIBC’s chief economist, Benjamin Tal, was out recently suggesting the Bank of Canada could hike its benchmark interest rate at least six times beginning in early 2022. “I think there is a risk of getting into the market at today’s rates,” noted Tal....

Steve Saretsky -

The BC Government announced it is looking at several cooling measures for the housing market in 2022. They have highlighted two measures. The first is an end to the blind bidding process, and the other is a mandatory “cooling off period” which will allow any buyer a 7 day recession...

Steve Saretsky -

The Bank of Canada continues to slowly drain liquidity after flooding the system with a firehose of cash during the pandemic. Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem announced the end of Canada’s QE program (also known as money printing). Furthermore, in Macklems words, “We expect to begin increasing our policy...

Steve Saretsky -

Consumer price inflation ripped higher in September, surging 4.4% year-over-year, the fastest pace of price increases in 18 years. Let’s discuss this further. We have an inflation problem and the Bank of Canada remains of the view that inflation will be transitory. Although they really can’t say otherwise, for if...

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The Saretsky Report. December 2022